Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.300501 1.564197 1.887379 2.319391 2.892402 3.642252e+00 4.725588e+00
2025-01-05 0.935599 1.240191 1.668001 2.338899 3.418172 5.196486e+00 8.631119e+00
2025-01-12 0.722823 1.019018 1.473809 2.270964 3.753483 6.708137e+00 1.420449e+01
2025-01-19 0.595603 0.878385 1.342532 2.230219 4.092589 8.497691e+00 2.325712e+01
2025-01-26 0.537644 0.828058 1.336980 2.401012 4.943615 1.229365e+01 4.819204e+01
2025-02-02 0.486595 0.776086 1.311378 2.518799 5.762228 1.717676e+01 1.040094e+02
2025-02-09 0.434002 0.710214 1.241824 2.513000 6.265114 2.194316e+01 2.132315e+02
2025-02-16 0.385923 0.643987 1.156191 2.438522 6.526421 2.638052e+01 4.302776e+02
2025-02-23 0.356335 0.607788 1.124602 2.489258 7.261913 3.543733e+01 1.422013e+03
2025-03-02 0.335058 0.584242 1.114919 2.596253 8.326511 5.103117e+01 1.206974e+04
2025-03-09 0.311093 0.551643 1.078134 2.613453 9.063645 6.836335e+01 1.245708e+06
2025-03-16 0.284027 0.509113 1.010548 2.515451 9.201696 8.089734e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.270019 0.492919 1.004694 2.619212 10.550633 1.258728e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.253574 0.469486 0.977033 2.643156 11.539306 1.837303e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.234645 0.438409 0.924762 2.563589 11.822277 2.340768e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.219154 0.413355 0.884334 2.515837 12.315532 3.166237e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.214296 0.411771 0.906059 2.716538 15.086537 7.496740e+02 NaN
2025-04-27 0.207373 0.404541 0.911044 2.855397 17.747664 1.901935e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.196626 0.387095 0.884177 2.848552 19.042927 3.884073e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 0.184629 0.365527 0.842263 2.760723 19.341029 6.558727e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 0.177604 0.355357 0.832532 2.820539 21.676856 2.932493e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 0.172666 0.349797 0.835801 2.946899 25.458347 2.101649e+06 NaN
2025-06-01 0.165627 0.338311 0.819064 2.967240 27.850943 NaN NaN